15 June 2014

Good News! Opening Behavioral Design Net•Work

The Fusion between Behavioral Science, Service Design and Business Practice is the next path to growth.
In a highly competitive and saturated market be coming Human Friendly is the main way to create additional value.
I invite you to contribute to the open source project Behavioral Design Net Work



My intention is to create a space for conversation on mixing Behavioral Science with (Business) Practice, mainly Service Design.

Join the Movement
and share your thoughts, interesting articles, movies etc.







13 June 2014

Value Creation through Design Spiced with Behavioral Science: From Functional to Hedonic and the “Tricks of Preferences”

Hans browses around an upscale department store searching for a gift for his wife’s birthday. He looks at this and at that and, after two hours of searching, he finds something that he thinks his wife will like to receive as a gift. The price is a bit “spicy”, but it’s a gift for his wife’s birthday and there is no price for their love and (life) partnership.

Hans buys the gift and goes back home and hides it in a place he knows his wife will not look. (or at least she will not say that she found it before time).

While savouring his evening beer, Hans remembers that during his shopping trip he spotted a nice watch he would like to have. Naturally he doesn’t need a (new) watch. He has two already and he always has his mobile phone with him; in addition he spends most of his day in front of a computer. Hans realizes that, in fact, these days no one really needs a watch. However, he can’t take his mind off that watch. He only got a glimpse of it, but it was enough to realize that it was very beautiful and elegant. If he remembers right, it was the same brand as the watch his grandfather had (too) many years ago, when Hans was only a young boy.

A few days later, Hans is again in the upscale department store and just for his indulgence he goes to the watch shop to take a better look. He remembers seeing a tiny price tag and it was something like “2** Euros”. Hans goes to the shop and asks to see and try on the watch he saw a few days ago. It is truly superb and the sales-lady tells him it has a golden case, but Hans can’t fully hear what she is saying since he is absorbed by the grace and elegance of the watch. He was right. It is the same brand as his grandfather’s watch.

After a few seconds of having the watch on his wrist, Hans takes another look at the price tag. It was almost as he remembered: “2890 Euros” … he only missed one digit the first time. The sales-lady tells him that the case is solid gold and weights 19 grams. For a second, Hans realizes that he has on his wrist a watch that is worth about half of the car he and his wife have. He simply cannot afford it and he thinks that it would be insane to even consider buying it.

He gives the watch back to the sales-lady and, with a bitter smile, tells her that the watch is very beautiful, but way out of his league. She replies that there are other more affordable models and encourages him to take another look at the display. Hans spots another watch that looks similar to the golden one, though not as elegant and gracious, but still very beautiful. He asks to see it. This time Hans is careful and takes a look at the price tag first. It says “198 Euros”. Hans is relieved and tries it on. Although it is not a gold watch, it is still very beautiful and elegant and it looks great on his wrist. Moreover, this one too is the same brand as his grandfather used to have.

Hans, proudly leaves the shop with a new watch that is very beautiful, quite expensive and that he didn’t really need.  

The (not so fictional) story of Hans and the unnecessary watch holds many lessons about value creation and doing business in the XXIst century. Here are some of them:

First, a 200 Euros Watch looks like a bargain when compared to a 3000 Euros one.

Second, we buy things that we don’t need (also) because they hold emotional and or status value.

Third, context is (almost) everything! Glimpsing and getting an elegant watch makes perfect sense in an upscale department store after buying something elegant for your better half. It might not have been so, on a casual Sunday walk in the park.

Fourth, when selling status goods to men, it is better to have ladies who sell.

All of these lessons are grounded in the insights of Behavioral Science.

Established thinking (based on insights from normative Economics) would suggest that only moderately rich and snobbish people would buy expensive watches. However, Hans does not necessarily fits the profile… in fact he doesn’t fit any profile since you don’t really know anything about him.

Market research based on this “established thinking” would have asked several hundred Hanses to say how much they would be willing to pay for a watch… and the huge majority of answers would have been below 200 Euros.

Behavioral Science, however, holds many insights that are not really intuitive
and that go far beyond understanding (and manipulating) the context of purchasing.

Behavioral Science can give insights into creating value that both clients and companies need.

In a world where functionality is incorporated in most goods and services, it is very difficult to create value by being even more functional.

Moreover, Behavioral Science holds several (potential) answers to the question:
“How do we get out of the Price War?”

In a highly commoditized market and with an increasing price sensitive target audience, functionality and (low) price are very important. However, not the entire market is looking only for functionality and not the entire target audience wants only small prices.

Businesses which acknowledge that the quality (functionality) and price battlefield is not the only area of competition, can break the deadlock and generate value for both their customers and themselves.

Just before the end… you should know that a people better remember stories than anything else… this is why I wrote the story of Hans and his new (unnecessary) watch.

Here’s the main lesson you need to learn from Behavioral Science:


First We Feel and only after (if at all) We Think! 





Hurry up! Registration Ends on June 18

7 June 2014

The Relationship between Bad Service and Confirmation Bias

At the time of writing this blog post, I am in Bucharest, the City I called “home” for 21 years. For four years, now, I live in The Netherlands.

Being a relatively young democracy and free-market Romania overall offers huge diversity ranging from exceptionally good service at more than reasonable prices to absolute crap at obscenely high prices.

One instance of bad service was my recent visit to a hair-dresser. The hair-cut I got was quite OK, though considering how I keep my hair, it would be very difficult to get something wrong. The hair-dresser story goes like this:

I went to the hair-dresser place that I used to go for quite some years before I moved from the city. I kind of remembered where it was (most communist blocks of flats look the same). I arrived at the place where I knew the hair-dresser was and found that it had closed down. I decided to walk to another one I knew was nearby (15 min walk). After less than a minute I stumble upon a hair-dresser saloon which was for both men and women.

I went inside and noticed on the right side two ladies who (I assume) were ladies hair-dressers. Both of them were lying on the chairs for customers reading some tabloids. On the left side a young man was giving a shoulders massage to an older gentleman who was sitting on a chair for clients. After about one minute of being completely ignored, I was asked by the younger man:

“What would you like / what do you want” (approximate translation from Romanian)

The question left me speechless for about 20 seconds. I simply could not answer, since I was in a hair-dresser saloon and I assumed the personnel would realize that people who enter the establishment want to get hair-cuts or make appointments for hair-cuts in the future. I am sorry that I didn’t answer with “two kilos of potatoes, please”.

The actual hair-cut experience was OK… in fact more or less what I know it is since ever. At the end I asked how much it costs. The answer was 15Lei which is about 3.75Euros.

Beyond the shock of being asked “what do you want” in a hairdresser saloon, for me as an applied psychologist this experience revealed a very interesting self-fulfilling prophecy. The four hair-dressers were doing their thing (particularly the two ladies were completely absorbed by the tabloids) because there were no clients at the time. However, their behaviour – doing their things and (almost) ignoring potential clients – is a clear cause of not having clients.

Moreover, there is the issue of price. Non-Romanians should know that Romania is a very price sensitive market (except for status goods). However, the population in large cities is very diverse and there are people who would not mind paying 20Lei (4.2 Euros) or even 30Lei (6.5 Euros) for a haircut.

Again we have a self-fulfilling prophecy. Because the saloon (needs to have) has low prices, it will have badly paid staff and will invest zero in delivering a good service. In turn this will drive away the clients who are willing to pay a premium for good service (which does not mean exceptional).


These self-fulfilling prophecies are a very interesting case of confirmation bias, which means that we look (only) for information that confirms our existing beliefs and (virtually) ignore evidence that disconfirms our beliefs. For the hair dresser that I went to, it is obvious that it is not worthy to invest a bit in delivering better service because their only clients are people who can pay very little. Moreover, to the staff it makes perfect sense to read tabloids (in close to obscene positions) and to get a massage and chat about football, thus ignoring the (potential) clients, exactly because there are few clients.



28 May 2014

Behavioral Science for Service Design

No one (actively) wants to make bad decisions.

No one (actively) wants to deliver bad service.

Yet both bad decisions and bad service are present in our lives.  

The three above statements are undeniable. A legitimate question is why there is a gap between what (most) people deliberately think (i.e. not wanting to make bad decisions and deliver bad service) and what (most) people actually do (make bad decisions and deliver bad service)?

There are many answers that would fit this question; yet, I believe, that there is one major underlying cause:

Most people hold erroneous assumptions on how decisions are made and on what drives (influences) behavior (what people do).


Without going into profound and lengthily explanations, the core idea is that
We do not make decisions only by using deliberate critical thinking.
Similarly, behavior is influenced by a myriad of factors that are not our intentions and beliefs. These influencing factors are both within and beyond our conscious awareness.

(I promised to keep it very simple. I hope I managed that).

The paragraph above summarizes in 50 words the main findings in behavioral science.

For quite some time behavioral science was seen as revealing flaws of human nature. Indeed, humans are not the (close to) perfect beings that we believed. Yet, these are not design flaws; this is how we humans are.

The main issue is not that people are imperfect reasoning machines and behavior is not entirely under the control of the conscious individual.

The main issue is that we believe that we are (close) to perfect.

In other words,
The main issue is not being imperfect;

The Main issue it’s not believing (knowing) that we are imperfect.

Luckily, behavioral science has studied our imperfections and now there is solid knowledge on the elements that influence decision-making and behavior.

Here’s when Service Design comes into the scene!

We all want to make good decisions, to have (enjoy) good service and to simply enjoy our lives a bit more. The best place for knowledge from Behavioral science is in Service Design.

Some early practical applications of behavioral science were presented in the Book Nudge. These examples show how behavioral science can help people make better decisions and act on them (e.g. save more money for retirement).
The whole “Nudge” approach is, essentially, about plugging in insights from behavioral science into the design of public service.  

The opportunities of improving Service Design by using insights from Behavioral Science are abundant in both private and public organizations.



1 May 2014

At the Habit Summit Europe

Yesterday, 30th April, I gave a brief presentation at The Habit Summit Europe in Amsterdam.


Having a bit (more) experience in organizing events, I have to say very little about The Habit Summit: It was good!

As for my brief presentation, I got some very nice feed-back... which is only natural since people who didn't like it didn't say anything :)... Still the number of people who liked it was quite encouraging... Looking forward to the release of the recording.

Thank you to the organizing team and to Monolith.

And by the way, My nastiest habit is THINKING






Don't forget to check out my workshops in applied BS (that is Behavioral Science, not the other BS) on www.naumof.com 

Later Edit: found the first pick with me ;)
Thank you Tom Prakke

No! I am not the big fat guy... I'm the one in the red blazer 



Even Later Edit: I found another pic :) Apparently because most people were focused on my presentation there weren't too many pictures taken...
 





15 April 2014

It is time to get closer to Applied Behavioral Science!

People often do things that make little or no sense from a rational point of view.

This is until you view them through the lenses of

the 4D Model of Human Behavior

based on top-level research in Behavioral Sciences.

Many companies and NGOs already apply insights from Behavioral Science in marketing, employee engagement, market research, fundraising and social programs.   

Even the (UK) Government Applies Behavioral Science…

Watch the recording of my webinar "See human Behavior in 4D" (from August last year) and get the gist of how the 4D Model of Human Behavior can help you to

Become Better at Understanding, Predicting and Influencing
Human Behavior!


 Liked it? 

Get a better picture with my Live Seminar

and Get Introduced to Applied Behavioral Science





Book a session ASAP and enjoy the “prohibitive” price of just 950€/ session*

* VAT (BTW) applicable for clients in The Netherlands; travel expenses not included.



3 April 2014

Screw the Attitudes! Go (directly) for Behavior

Too many behavioral change related endeavors focus excessively on goals such as “raising awareness”, “changing (improving) attitudes” and, of course, “informing the public”… yes, I have in mind non-profit endeavors, but this situation (shortcoming) concerns not only such projects.

The reality is that almost all such endeavors are destined to fail at achieving actual behavior change. So, why is there so much emphasis on attitudes? Here are some possible answers:

The people behind these endeavors still hold the erroneous belief that behavior is driven by attitudes, thus changing attitudes will lead to a change in behavior. Even if, most of the time, this is wrong, I think that it is an honest mistake. If one (still) believes that human behavior is the result of one’s personality combined with deliberate thinking, it is only natural to think that attitudes precede behavior. Now, if you read this blog, you know that human behavior is influenced by a huge array of factors and that much of what we do is not necessarily the result of deliberate thinking.

When it comes to attitudes, the reality is almost the other way around than the general (naïve) belief.

The naïve belief is that when attitudes change, behavior, too, changes.

Reality is that when behavior changes, attitudes, subsequently change.

The psychological process behind this is a mix of self-identification theory and confirmation bias. (Note that I didn’t mention the outdated cognitive dissonance). For example, let’s just assume that as a result of randomness, Samantha ends up making a donation for a (random) charity. After the fact (behavior) she will try to make sense of her actions. In this process, Samantha will find all sorts of reasons for why her action is not only justifiable, but even a very good (wise) one. She will think better of the cause the charity is promoting. Moreover, Samantha will see herself as a “good person who supports worthy causes”.

Another not so innocent answer, is that attitudes are relatively easy to measure (who doesn’t know of the famous 7-point Likert-scale…). In contrast, behavior change is a lot more difficult to measure, assess and, quite often, takes a lot of time.

The least innocent answer is that some NGOs and even governments simply have some money to spend (waste) and they do anything that can be done within the budget. In order to show that they have done something useful (or at least pretend), these organizations show up with some data on how attitudes have changed…


The essence is: if the issue one wants to tackle is behavioral, then focus on behavior! The attitude change will follow the change in behavior.